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2024-12-14 05:30:01

Analysis of exchange rate trendThanks to the huge favorable blessing, today's market is once again anticlimactic, which once again disappoints retail investors. It is not surprising to say that the accident is not once or twice. But objectively speaking, this positive is indeed a real positive, and it is a medium-and long-term positive. I think we still have to treat it rationally, and institutions need to understand and reflect well. Is it necessary to go its own way? Today's trend can be said to be very ugly, so will the market have a big repair tomorrow? Let's analyze it in detail below.After the exchange rate rushed to 7.314, it began to fluctuate and weaken. As we have told you many times before, the vicinity of 7.3 is heavily guarded, and the depreciation in this area is almost in place, and there is no room for further sharp depreciation. Some time ago, around 7.3, the market began to get nervous. Instead, we clearly told everyone that this was a good thing, because the direct depreciation was in place, and the subsequent appreciation expectation was formed. From the current situation, it is really difficult for the exchange rate to weaken further. At present, the daily level has entered a short-term adjustment trend, but we should focus on observing whether it can fall below 7.258 this week. Only when it falls below, the medium-term depreciation momentum can be ended, otherwise it will be repeated.


Analysis of exchange rate trendThe State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau has officially approved the change of registered capital of National Pension and added Allianz Investment as the company's shareholder. Allianz Investment completed the subscription of about 228 million new shares issued by National Pension for about 284 million yuan (about 39 million US dollars), so the registered capital of National Pension increased to about 11.378 billion yuan. After the subscription, Allianz Investment will hold 2% equity of National Pension and become its first foreign shareholder. It is reported that Allianz Investment is an asset management institution under the Allianz Group of Germany, which is one of the largest insurance and asset management groups in the world.A-shares: the latest tone of the top management, foreign capital continues to increase! Can we have a big repair on Wednesday?


Although the trend of the market today is very ugly, there are some positive signs. First, it has not yet fallen below the daily offensive line, and the offensive line is still upward, so the market will continue to rebound. Secondly, it has broken through the daily pressure level today, which is also the first time in the near future, and it can be regarded as a breakthrough. Then today, the quantity and energy are also very obvious, and there is nothing to worry about if there is quantity and energy. Tomorrow, the offensive line will continue to move up and will be close to today's closing point, so tomorrow's trend is very important for the short-term trend. It can be said that it can only go up but not down. If it falls, the short-term trend will weaken. If we can hold the offensive line tomorrow, there is still a possibility that the market will rebound. After all, the current market is still in a state of high control. The main players are deeply involved and have the ability to control the disk, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic about tomorrow's trend for the time being. Pay attention to the competition around 3410 points. If you hold on, the short-term problem is not very big.

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